Chapter 20
A major charitable
activity suggestion concerning reducing abortions
– as in Rome where
saving discarded babies was a signature Christian activity
"Charity never
faileth"
Except, in our case, it
has already failed, or we have failed it.
The
first principle of the practical Christian gospel is active charity. Unfortunately, today the first operating
principle of the LDS Church is to require all members to pay all religious
contributions to the central church where it is spent on everything BUT
charity. The limited available reports indicate that less than 1% of the
tithing money received centrally goes to charity. The central offices contain
nearly ALL our welfare cases, so to speak. That kind of behavior will never
convince anyone that we actually believe in and practice serious charity,
raising the question as to whether we actually believe in the tenets of
Christianity.
The
text at 1 Corinthians 13 is probably the most forceful argument for the
importance of charity, and it appears that this kind of charity was indeed
practiced by the Saints who lived during the life of Christ and for at least
300 years afterwards.
1 Corinthians 13
Paul discusses the high
status of charity—Charity, a pure love, excels and exceeds almost all else.
1 Though I speak with
the tongues of men and of angels, and have not charity, I am become as sounding
brass, or a tinkling cymbal.
2 And though I have the
gift of prophecy, and understand all mysteries, and all knowledge; and though I
have all faith, so that I could remove mountains, and have not charity, I am
nothing.
3 And though I bestow
all my goods to feed the poor, and though I give my body to be burned, and have
not charity, it profiteth me nothing.
4 Charity suffereth
long, and is kind; charity envieth not; charity vaunteth not itself, is not
puffed up,
5 Doth not behave
itself unseemly, seeketh not her own, is not easily provoked, thinketh no evil;
6 Rejoiceth not in
iniquity, but rejoiceth in the truth;
7 Beareth all things,
believeth all things, hopeth all things, endureth all things.
8 Charity never
faileth:
but whether there be prophecies, they shall fail; whether there be tongues,
they shall cease; whether there be knowledge, it shall vanish away.
9 For we know in part,
and we prophesy in part.
10 But when that which
is perfect is come, then that which is in part shall be done away.
11 When I was a child,
I spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I
became a man, I put away childish things.
12 For now we see
through a glass, darkly; but then face to face: now I know in part; but then
shall I know even as also I am known.
13 And now abideth
faith, hope, charity, these three; but the greatest of these is charity.
So, with this theoretical understanding
of the importance of charity, what would an appropriate latter-day charitable
works program look like? Perhaps it could begin with a basic, efficient,
charity-based social insurance system that would gradually replace all the
others in the world, at least for members of the church. It might then set the
goal of going on to administer an annual budget of about $200 billion for
active charity projects designed to improve many aspects of earth life.
Hopefully, we would be at least 10 times
more efficient and effective than anyone else in administering charity. We could replace Catholic Relief Services
and become many times larger and more influential than they ever were. It is
not clear today why the LDS Church has any association with the Catholic Relief
Services, since we should be perfectly able to do our own charitable works, if
we so chose.
Project scale
To get some
rough idea of how big an effective Christian charity-based project might need
to be to completely change the direction of our nation, we might start with the
observation that a US presidential campaign costs about $1 billion these days,
or maybe up to $2 billion. That is one rough measure of how much influence on
the world $1 billion of focused effort can accomplish. By various estimates,
the LDS church receives between $15 billion and $50 billion a year and has
about $100 billion in reserves, indicating that the church could execute the
equivalent of up to 150 presidential campaigns if it chose to.
If we said
that the colleges and universities of the United States absorbed about $500
billion each year, and the K-12 education systems observed another $500
billion, that would give us an idea of what it would take to counteract or
replace the corrupt and pagan-philosophy-dominated school systems of our
country. The mainstream media probably absorbs about $50 billion a year, and
Hollywood might absorb something like $10 billion a year. The Social Security
system absorbs about $500 billion a year and the Medicare systems absorbs about
$300 billion a year. Directly counteracting or replacing all of these currently
powerful and even controlling secular influences on the people of the nation
could require as much as $1.8 trillion every year. It is quite possible that it
would not take anywhere near that amount to completely overturn all these
negative influences, if we were clever in our strategy, but we may not know the
answer to that question until we are well into some kind of a countercultural
project.
The main point here is to think big and not
settle for just a small amount of local influence, although that is a good
place to start. The state of Utah ought to be a model society on every level,
but it is currently far from that. For example, corruption of the court system
seems both very deep and very blatant. Getting Utah straightened out would give
us some good experience and show other people that it can be done.
It seems highly likely that we could assemble
many allies in this process of fixing the degenerate culture of the United
States, but someone needs to do the research and experimenting and lead out to help
people move along new paths with confidence. That should be our first focus.
People today are generally so misinformed
and confused on so many topics, that perhaps the first priority ought to be to
improve the education process on every level. Education should be
paramount. Everyone knows that it is better to teach a man to fish so that he
can take care of himself for life, rather than just to hand him a fish that
will feed him for one day. But the same education philosophy probably goes for
many other aspects of life such as teaching a person how to understand politics
well and how to vote wisely so that he can help repair a broken society, as
opposed to trying to perform some vague "nation-building" projects
without the full ideological support of the populace.
Administration costs
One way to improve the effectiveness of
charities is to lower their administration costs so that more money gets to the
desired goal instead of being eaten up by the process. It would be ideal if
those who administer charity programs were not themselves receiving a salary,
although they might indeed have their travel and communications expenses paid
for. Keeping it all volunteer has a way of ensuring that only those who are
doing the tasks for the right reasons will stay involved.
The
participants would be doing their personal charity and "paying their
tithing" by doing this work. We should end up with good, high-powered
people working for free, or at least without salary. The church could pay all administrative costs
so that 100% of contributions, even from outsiders, go to the intended purposes.
For example, the church might expend $200 million, mostly on travel and
communications costs, to administer $200 billion. That would give us the
remarkable result of having only 0.1% in administrative costs. That nearly
perfect administration system should encourage everyone with good intentions to
contribute to these projects.
Ideally,
we would develop plans and projects and test them, and then request large sums
of money from like-minded people in and out of the church, based on the results
of our pilot programs. This method of administration should bring in enormous
amounts of outside money.
Macroeconomic
effects
Another
long-term goal of this project is to change the basic economics of an entire
nation. Instead of continuing to support [allowing] the wasteful and
constraining tax-and-spend government programs for retirement and medical care,
which alone typically capture 15.2% of a person's income, all of those programs
should be gradually replaced with a charity-based program which is easily 2 1/2
times more efficient and will probably be five times more efficient when operating
correctly. That should have the effect of lowering taxes, since the biggest
portion of government spending, perhaps 80%, is related to so-called
"entitlement" spending for "charitable" purposes which has
non-gospel effects on citizens, encouraging greed, fraud, waste, and abuse,
which, together, double or triple the cost to deliver the desired services.
This all has a "virtuous spiral" effect so that increasing charity
decreases destructive taxes which then allows for more charity, or free
will-based services. Getting rid of the vast inefficiencies of an atheist
culture allows a gospel-based culture to shine and become "the city on the
hill" which every instinctively good person wants to be part of.
When the
Social Security program was first begun, there was an option to start an
alternative system for pensions which could use free-market principles along
with a few government contribution parameters. Numerous groups took advantage
of that alternative system. The might most widely known cases are the three
counties in Texas which is which adopted this alternate system. The
participants in that program receive somewhere between 2.4 and five times
greater pension benefits from that system. The participants actually own the
money and can spend it themselves or give to the children, as opposed to the
Social Security system where you only receive the money as long as you're
alive. If you live until your 85, you do well. If you die at age 65, you get
nothing. This problem disappears with the alternate systems used by these three
Texas counties.
I think it is interesting that if the church
had encouraged such systems in the 1930s, the people who have reaped church
members who have retired since then, calculating as 5 million retirees over a
50 year period, would have received $10 trillion more than they did receive
through the government pension program. One can do rather large amount of
missionary work, or education work, or other good in the world with $10 trillion
in extra money, with no extra fees involved. If the church had sponsored such a
system when it was possible, the church members as a group would be receiving
about $200 billion a year more than they are receiving now from government
systems. That extra free money could easily fund most of the projects suggested
here. With an administrative system which applies almost 100% of funds to the
intended target audience, I believe many other people in the world will want to
offer to support our programs.
The abortion avoidance/rescue/orphanage
project
What
follows are the segments of a brochure I put together to try to inform people
about a much-needed charitable project and to seek their support.
Introduction
The
basic problem we start out with is that there are about one million abortions
each year in the United States, and nearly 60 million worldwide. These are
staggering numbers which mean that a population the size of the United States
is prevented from coming to earth every five years.
We
should notice that the number of abortions worldwide is about three times as
high per capita as we see today in the United States:
Calculation:
For the world: 60 million abortions/6 billion
people = 1%.
For the United States:
1 million abortions/300 million people = 0.3%.
Presumably
that is because the United States is still the most Christian country in the
world and still values life more than anyone else. Unfortunately, if the
rapidly growing number of pathologically self-centered pagans in United States
have their way, the number of abortions each year in the United States will
gradually rise to about 3 million. That would put us on a par with the rest of
the world. We should at least try to keep this one million number from rising
any more in the United States, up to the 3 million level, even if we cannot set
up a system to do something about the nearly 60 million potential beneficiaries
of our program worldwide. In general, as we reach for a worldwide Zion, we
should want to make the earth a more welcoming place for everyone, especially
for new babies.
State-level
antiabortion efforts
It
is wonderful to see at least 17 of the 50 states working hard to minimize or
end abortions in their states. But, unfortunately, it seems likely that, as a
practical matter, most people seeking abortions do so because they do not want
to raise that child for some reason, so if states are successful in limiting
abortions, the number of unwanted children, potential foster children, could go
up substantially.
Also,
unfortunately, these same antiabortion states don't seem to be doing much to
adapt for or prepare for the likely effects of having success with their antiabortion policies. Perhaps we can say that their
Christianity goes far enough to want to avoid abortions, which is a good thing,
but not far enough to try to solve all the problems that cause people to want
to limit their offspring through abortions.
So,
it appears that someone needs to provide a large and practical system that will
do something about those impending consequences. If limiting abortions means we simply have
more child neglect or abuse or even infanticide, those states will not have
actually made much of a positive difference but may make worse the whole process
of the birth and rearing of children.
Hopefully, one element of a successful program will be to help mothers
and fathers understand the value of life and be willing and able to raise these
children themselves. If we cannot
empower those parents, perhaps we can help in another way. We might start with
providing a comfortable place where women can go to be cared for themselves
until they give birth. If
all else fails to get every child into a loving home, the child can be
temporarily placed in our orphanage.
Some program limitations
One
great difficulty is that, at the beginning, we will certainly not be able to
care for all the nation's one million rejected babies, so we will have to
engage in some kind of selection or triage process to choose the limited number
of children we can assist and offer a nice life. Those outcomes may be
determined for us in most cases, but there will surely come times when we have
to choose.
Unfortunately,
to create a viable and successful system we will probably have to focus on
trying to save those children who are best equipped to live a successful and
productive life. If we only choose the
sick and disabled children at first, those very ones who might seem the most
pitiful and needful at the beginning, we may not be able to give them the much
higher and longer term help they need.
We might find that those extreme resources, needed for one such child,
could possibly be used to successfully raise 10 healthy children to maturity.
A
large and successful general population can absorb and support a small percentage
of seriously disabled children, but we would not start out with anything like a
large "general population." But, hopefully, the long-term success of
the program contemplated here, will include grown children giving back to the
process, like alumni of any school, possibly including adopting some of these
children themselves. That bootstrapping process should finally allow a large
number of "institutionalized" or severely disabled children to be
cared for within the system we create. Otherwise there is the risk that we might
swamp and overwhelm the system with unbearable failure and sadness that never
goes away.
We are not quite the same as Sparta, Athens, or
the Eskimos. We don't have to decide to discard a child or keep it. We simply
have to decide that since we cannot keep all the children, we simply keep the
ones who are most likely to be successful, and we continue that way until we
can find a way to accept all unwanted children.
Long-term considerations -- exponential
growth?
There is another interesting issue here.
The healthy and strong ones can grow up to have children of their own which
they will probably value more than their parents valued them. This means that
the number of "lives" that we are helping will grow exponentially,
which seems like a good idea. If only the weak and sickly are saved, they are
not likely to have any progeny of their own, or be able to take care of them if
they did. So, if we are trying to optimize and maximize the number of spirits
who can come to the earth and have a good experience, then we would want to
start out focusing on those who can be successful.
Very long-term considerations -- genetic
entropy
For
purposes of the proposed project (and for the church more generally), we also
have the very long-term problem that the human genome is continuing to
deteriorate rapidly over time. After 300+ generations of humans on this earth,
the mutation load is becoming critical. The number of chronic, genetics-related
diseases goes up at a relatively fixed rate of about 0.7% a year, inexorably.
This means that, by now, about 50% of all living people have at least one
significant genetic disease. Diabetes and heart disease seem to be widespread
current genetic diseases, but the rate of cancer is also going up, especially cancer
among children. The occurrence of autism, which is apparently genetically
related to childhood cancer, seems to be going up at a frightening rate.
At
some point in the near future, perhaps in as little as 100 years or about five
generations away, children may be born with such an overwhelming set of genetic
problems, that they will not be able to survive after birth. This indicates
that one of the very long-term goals of this project ought to be to do the
medical research necessary to understand and deal with this long-term genetic
entropy problem, to the extent that that is even possible. Our society is
probably already devoting enough resources to medical research in general that
they should be able to take on this research problem and devise the best
available solutions. However, in general, the researchers appear to be so
blinded by the false theories and speculations of atheistic organic evolution
that they will never focus these available resources in the most fruitful
places. Changing that pagan philosophy and refocusing those resources ought to
be one eventual goal of this project.
Christ
quickly drew many tens of thousands of people to his new religion, partly
because he demonstrated the power to heal people of every imaginable disease,
and even to raise them from the dead. At the present moment, it seems quite
unrealistic for a modern-day church to offer anything like those levels of healing
powers to people. However, if it turns out there IS any way for the church to
offer healing powers on that scale, that would be an extremely powerful
indication to the world that the church had the truth, and they would naturally
flock to it. It might even provide a way to resolve the unpleasant practical
and ethical difficulty of not being able to heal and help every child that
comes into the world with an imperfect body.
------------------------------------
20190808 combined Leland project article
20190420 The Leland Farms project-V04
The Leland Farms Project
A vigorous Christian
response to the growing pagan practices of abortion and infanticide in our
nation
Thanksgiving Point Curiosity Museum -- a sample
of possible facilities to brighten children's lives.
Short Version
Leland
Farms
Orphanage, farm, and schools
A 600-acre complex with
orphanages, farms, schools, and colleges,
plus appropriate
housing for residents and visitors.
Education
The focus will be on education, and there
will be facilities to promote education at every level.
Demographics:
For planning purposes, assume an eventual
population of 16,000 orphans of all ages, although a much smaller size would
still be beneficial and feasible
Funding:
There is a $0 funding option, a $1
million funding option, and a $3 billion funding option explored.
LDS families care about people and tend
to be generous, so that it should be reasonable to expect a final investment or
endowment of $3 billion, if the concept proves to be as valuable as it seems.
Volunteer staff:
Thousands of families in the Utah Valley
area, especially those who are retired, spend large amounts of volunteer time
on religion-related projects. Hopefully, these same groups of people would be
willing to act as volunteer grandparents or Big Brothers/Big Sisters for the orphanage
children.
History and philosophy
The early Christians were known for
rescuing rejected children who had been "exposed" to the elements by
other Roman citizens. Some of those
children died anyway, and were given a Christian burial. In some cases, pagan people
took these rejected children and turned them into slaves, but of course the
Christians did not turn them into slaves, but kept them as their own children.
This added to the ranks of the Christians in Rome, and presumably in other
cities as well, since the exposing of unwanted children was a common practice
in that society. We seem to be repeating
all the practices and problems of Rome today. https://earlychurchhistory.org/medicine/infanticide-in-the-ancient-world/
Expansion:
If another orphanage were to be created
in St. George Utah, that could be something similar to what is planned for Utah
Valley, with even better weather. There would likewise probably be tens of
thousands of honorary grandparents readily available to help out the project.
Instructive examples:
1. A Child’s Hope Foundation. “Our
Mission: Lifting Orphans from Surviving to Thriving”
www.achildshopefoundation.org/about/ --
Orem Utah headquarters, assists orphanages in Bulgaria, China, Mongolia,
Ukraine, Peru, South Korea, Haiti, and Mexico, with more intense support for one
orphanage in Haiti and three in Mexico.
2. Southern Virginia University is a
private liberal arts college located in Buena Vista, Virginia. The school,
though not officially affiliated with a particular faith, embraces the values
of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. www.svu.edu
Longer Version
Leland
Farms
Orphanage, farm, and
schools
A 600-acre complex with
orphanages, farms, schools, and colleges,
plus appropriate
housing for residents and visitors.
I prefer the term "boarding school"
to such terms as orphanage or group home, since the term "orphanage"
has mostly gone out of style these days. The "boarding school" term
tends to emphasize the learning part of this process. I fear that the term
"orphanage" brings to mind the idea of rows of cribs which act as
cages for children who are kept from exploring the world around them.
It would be ideal if we had the money
immediately available to take a 600-acre block of land and turn it into a kind
of planned "theme park," a "curiosity museum" even larger
than the one at Thanksgiving point, with the entire Leland Farms project being
designed for the maximum learning opportunities of children from age 0 through
age 18. To imagine the broadest possible view, the project might begin on the east
side with facilities to assist mothers who wish to give up their babies for
adoption, with the "output" at the west end of the project, where
young people have completed high school or even college work and are ready to
take their place as adults in our society, having learned all the most
important things about the world we live in, including the importance of
religion..
The two major factors
1. I believe that Leland is a truly
unique place which has been kept from being overrun by the normal population
for a purpose which is quite different than just general economic progress. It
is hard to imagine anywhere else in the world where you could easily name six
or eight bishops or past bishops in the LDS church who own substantial amounts
of property which are essentially contiguous. There are many other good people
who are have not been LDS bishops but who subscribe to that same philosophy and
might be willing to help this project in some way.
On the pure economics of the situation,
I'm guessing that, except for the land right around the Benjamin exit, which will probably bring a major
premium in land prices, the rest of the land in Leland is likely to be sold at
about the same price whether it is sold to a standard commercial developer who
is going to put in homes, or whether it is sold to a charitable organization
for an extensive orphanage facility. The charitable organization might actually
be able to pay the current land owners more, if they wish, and the payment of that
money could take place in ways which might be more creative than might be
typical for a standard commercial developer.
2. The battle of good and evil is
accelerating every day in our nation, and one of the areas of greatest conflict
concerns the bringing of new babies into the world. The atheistic political
left considers that women should have the availability of abortion on demand,
paid for by the government. About 1 million babies are aborted each year in the
US, and, if the political left has its way, that number will soon rise to 3
million a year which would put the United States at the same rate as the rest
of the world. Presumably the fact that Christianity still exists in the United
States is what keeps the abortion rate much lower, but that may not continue
for long. (Worldwide, there are about 56 million abortions a year as opposed to
the United States' 1 million abortions. The US is about 1/20 of the world
population, so, theoretically, there should be about 3 million abortions a year
in the US. ~60/20=~3)
There is a very active political battle
in progress. The godless left wants the Roe
V Wade decision to be an eternal rule, while many of the states are putting
all the restraints on abortion which they reasonably can, while undergoing
constant scrutiny and litigation by the left. In at least one case, Georgia,
the state hopes to be the means of overturning Roe V Wade. There is quite a patchwork of legislative results
reached in the various states. There are currently 17 states that ban abortions
beginning at 20 weeks. The latest move is for one of those states, Ohio,
probably to be soon joined by Georgia, to ban abortions after six weeks when a
baby's heartbeat can be detected. Technically, most babies have a heartbeat at
five weeks, but apparently the legislatures have chosen six weeks as their
target. Advances in medical science have made the Roe V Wade decision vulnerable to challenge, since that decision is
based on the fact that there was no consensus then about when a child becomes a
person. Georgia is declaring that a baby becomes a "natural person"
at six weeks and is granted all the protection of the state, including the
right to child support, the right to be claimed as a dependent, and the right
to be included in George's population counts.
School curricula:
Montessori experiential schools and homeschooling
are very popular in the state of Utah, and there are numerous excellent and
well-tested curricula available. These methods also take full advantage of
extensive online resources, many of them free. They offer a very frugal
alternative to expensive public education with its enormous investment in
centralized schools and the related busing systems. The assumption is that this
entire operation, including the schools, will operate mostly independently of
government and church funding and administration systems and the related
politics concerning warped values. The hope is that the farming activities could
make the whole operation mostly self-sustaining, while also providing
educational and productive work to the orphans and volunteers.
History and philosophy
-- more
The early Christians were known for
rescuing rejected children who had been "exposed" to the elements by
other Roman citizens. Some of those
children died anyway, and were given a Christian burial. In some cases, pagan people
took those rejected children and turned them into slaves, but of course the
Christians did not turn them into slaves, but kept them as their own children,
in the process rejecting two immoral aspects of Roman society. This added to
the ranks of the Christians in Rome, and presumably in other cities as well,
since the exposing of unwanted children was a common practice in that
society. We seem to be repeating all the
practices and problems of Rome today. https://earlychurchhistory.org/medicine/infanticide-in-the-ancient-world/
I'm guessing that besides adding the
children to the Christian ranks, other people who were sympathetic with the
Christian value system were also drawn to that group of believers, offering a
double sociological benefit to saving those children. We do know that the early Christians
eventually grew to be the largest single religious group in the Roman Empire.
It would be useful to have more detailed
statistics on the whole topic of children who might be well served by an
orphanage, but it is instructive to learn that there are about 1 million
abortions a year in the United States and a total of about 56 million abortions
worldwide each year. Many other children are born alive but are not wanted,
leading to abandoned children or infanticide, plus the classical orphans in
cases where parents have passed away. I read of one case in Brazil where 200 children
out of 1000 were killed or left to die by their parents. These are all
staggering numbers, and it would take some heroic efforts to begin to do what
the early Christians did in saving unwanted children, but on a worldwide scale.
When you realize that every six years the entire population of the United
States is lost to abortions worldwide, one might see this as an amazing
opportunity to do good or as nothing more than a depressing statistic. One
year's loss of life through intentional abortion or infanticide would replace
the entire LDS church population three times. The 60 million children who have
been aborted since 1973 in the United States would easily replace all those
workers who are now being supplied in the form of desperate immigrants from South
American and Central American countries.
Potential participating
landowning families:
Larsen, Larson, Eaton, Christensen,
Creer, Swenson, Nielsen, Westwood, Isaac, Baadsgaard, et al.
Some possible practical
factors
1. County assistance to
farmers
The county government for Utah County is
considering a proposal to assist new farmers in being able to make a living on
a farm. The County is proposing to give some kind of assistance to lower the
beginning capital costs required to operate a farm profitably. This will be
difficult, of course, because there is a constant upward pressure on the cost
of land, making it very difficult to get a proper return on investment in land
and the equipment required to work it.
2. Conservation covenants
In many places, land owners have the option to
limit the future use of their land for themselves, their families, and others,
by making a long-term commitment to keep the land close to its original form.
That might apply in Leland if some of those who own land would wish to make
that commitment. Perhaps that commitment would be easier to make if there was
some remuneration for those landowners at the beginning. Using land for the
charitable purposes suggested here may be far more valuable than using it for
ordinary residential purposes. This needs to be explored quickly before the
option passes of being able to do such a thing on a grand scale.
3. Dual-use
construction
There is also the interesting possibility that
if Leland were developed for purposes of supporting a large population of
orphans and related people and facilities, that development might itself look
very much like regular residential development. The main difference might be
that the homes would be a little larger, with more bedrooms, so that they could
be suitable for operating as group homes. It seems ideal if a new development
can be created for the very purpose of orphanage-style operations. At least there
would be no backlash later on as might happen if someone first developed the
area as a standard residential area and then tried to move it piecemeal to
becoming an orphanage-style operation. The typical Not in My Backyard (NIMBY)
reaction would never have a reason to exist. If the project were not successful
or if the concept or the location changed, those original houses might be
repurposed to normal residential living much more easily than going the other
way.
4. The current planning
status
The surrounding cities of Spanish Fork, Salem,
and Payson seem to be aggressively pursuing development of this area. It may
seem like a sensible thing to do, but I don't know of any requirement for the
cities to press for this kind of development. Presumably the cities are only
driven by the opportunity to increase taxes on developed land and therefore
grow the size of the city administration. However, the cities are theoretically
supposed to be the servants of the people who live there, not their masters. If
the people in the nearby areas where there is still raw land wish to restrict
the growth of the cities and the growth of the city's power over those large
parcels of raw land, that seems like something which should be possible. There
is nothing inevitable about having to accept this kind of aggressive growth,
for no other reason than for growth's sake. It is my opinion that many cities
in Utah County have far too grand view of their own purposes and powers, and
that attitude ought to be reset. Representative government is supposed to work
at the local level, not just in Washington DC.
It may be that it would make a great deal more
sense to leave Leland intact and to direct the typical developmental growth toward
areas which are to the west of Leland, simply skipping over Leland. The
commuter bedroom communities for offices along the Wasatch front easily extend
down to Santaquin and beyond. There is no obvious reason why this particular
tract of 1200 acres ought to be so avidly sought by city managers. Perhaps it would
make more sense to start someplace like Benjamin or Lakeshore and upgrade the
status of their cities and appoint THEM to be the ones who are annexing land
for residential and business purposes. They would almost certainly be more
democratic in how they planned for residential expansion.
I understand that Spanish Fork has zoned one
area for 500 homes, and Salem has zoned another area for 1500 homes, and that Target
stores has bought land near the Benjamin exit, and that Salem is planning to
build a sewer facility in the area of Benjamin exit. But none of these things
seem inevitable or even particularly necessary. It may be slightly cheaper to
provide utilities for Leland from the existing cities, but it should only be a
minor change in cost to leave Leland intact, jump the freeway going west and then
continue development there. The general flow of water is obviously from the
mountains to the lake, and there's no particular reason to stop at any particular
point along that drainage slope to emphasize one area over another. "Doing
what comes naturally" may not seem so natural if there are other important
factors to be considered, such as the "boarding school" option.
I believe there are areas near Spanish Fork,
Salem, and Payson that are rather low quality as far as farming possibilities
are concerned. It seems obvious that those areas should be first moved into
residential use before the higher-quality farmland is bothered. Perhaps that is
what is already happening with the zoning of Spanish Fork and Salem, but I
don't know the reasoning behind what they are doing.
A few interview results:
Paul
Westwood had two reactions to the idea. One was that there are many people who
want to adopt, and there are far too few babies for them to adopt. On the other hand, the real difficulty, as he
sees it, is in convincing pregnant mothers to go full term and give birth to
their babies when there is abortion on demand where the government pays for the
medical costs which make it free to the mother. Many adoptions can be very
expensive, rising to as much as $50,000. There are still apparently more people
who are willing to pay that amount than there are babies for them to adopt.
That should give us a few clues about how the various programs might be set up.
He
was not certain that it was necessary to build a big physical plant to make a
big difference. That is a good point if we would like to get some kind of
program going quickly. Obviously, if we delay as long as possible building any
structures for an orphanage, we can do a lot of work at minimal cost in
exploring who the children and families might be who would benefit from such
facilities.
In
contrast, I would observe that this may be a chicken and egg situation: if we
have the facilities, then it's much easier to make it clear that we are
prepared to take good care of any children that are entrusted to us. Perhaps
beginning with building or renting a single group home, perhaps with 8-10
bedrooms, would be one way to kick off the project, get some office space, and
get some experience with the whole process.
Clint
Hales, a Spanish Fork-based builder, thought the general idea of a high-quality
orphanage was a good one. He is very much aware of the state's efforts to build
housing for people in need, but there is no state follow-up program to make
sure these people get the individual help or encouragement they need.
Kent Huff
kent.huff@gmail.com
Cell: 801-615-9032
139 West 1720 North
Orem, Utah
84057
Computer consultant, author, JD, LLM (taxation)
huffkw@juno.com
20190527 Recent church statistics-V02-trim
The Basic Church
Statistical Picture
Church
growth statistics help explain what's happening to the church worldwide
This chart presents the basic information reported by the church
for the past five years. Each year shows the statistics reported for that year,
with extra columns showing the difference between that year and the prior year,
and the calculated percent difference between the two years.
Introduction
The last five years of church statistics
show that almost everything is in decline as far as membership growth rates are
concerned. There are fewer missionaries, fewer children of record added, fewer
converts, fewer members added, fewer missions, and fewer districts. There is a
small increase in the number of stakes, wards and branches, and church service
missionaries. It is not clear why the numbers of stake organizations and wards
or branches are going up, while almost everything else is going down, unless perhaps
there was some decision made to increase the levels and concentration of local
organizations in hopes of increasing local control and perhaps using that method
to stimulate growth through more intensive administration. The increase in the
number of church service missionaries, while the number of full-time
missionaries keeps dropping, may be related numbers. That could easily happen
if fewer people chose the more rigorous full-time mission option which usually
involves more travel, and instead chose the more local and less rigorous
service mission option.
Only an increase of
3,000 in new long-term members from 2017 to 2018? Or was it a net loss?
The statistics which the church supplies
publicly are interesting, but they are far from thorough, leaving us to guess
about what is happening in many situations. For dramatic effect I want to focus
on the apparent gain of only 3,000 long-term active members during the year of
2018. But even a gain of 3,000 might be a stretch. It could easily be a net
loss after all the factors are considered. I calculate that 3,000 by noticing
that there was only an increase of 30 wards and branches worldwide. It would be
much more helpful if we knew exactly how many branches and exactly how many
wards were added, instead of seeing only a combined total. To get around that lack of more exact
information, I'm going to assume that the average size of branches and wards is
100. Branches are smaller and wards are bigger, but 100 might be a reasonable
average size. So, obviously, 30x100 equals 3,000. But notice that we have
30,536 wards and branches. If the church, on average, lost one person from each
of those wards or branches, that would be a loss of 30,536 active members. That
could mean that there was actually a net loss of about 27,536. The point is,
that we are getting so close to zero growth, that we can't actually be sure
which way it went. I will supply some other numbers later which will make it
seem more like it was indeed a year in which the church had a net loss in active
members.
I
think it is useful to distinguish here between the basic maintenance level,
baptizing enough people to replace those who have died or left the church, and
actually going beyond that maintenance level to include raising the total
number of active church members by bringing in new long-term members. I am more
interested in seeing the church actually grow, not just avoid shrinking, so I
would prefer to start with that growth viewpoint. But it is probably too confusing
to start there, so I will start with the more basic maintenance level concerns.
Church
statistics from 2018 show that there were 234,332 converts, and that the church grew
by only
195,566
members. (We might wonder where those lost 38,766 went to? Was it because of an
extra-large number of deaths or defections?) And supposedly, that increase of
195,566 includes baptized children of record. New children of record are
reported to number 102,102, of which, historically, only about 60% actually get
baptized, which would add about 61,261 for 2018.
But
the church only grew by 30 wards and branches, which I would estimate to be
3000 people that were new long-term members. It is obviously hard to understand
what is going on here without more and better data.
The church does not report deaths
anymore, but an average life expectancy of 75 years implies that 1.33% of the
population will die each year. For the current reported church population of
16,313,735 that would mean that the church should have about 216,973 deaths
each year. With 234,332 converts reported, that would give us a net gain of
only 17,359 of new members over deaths, without counting defections. But notice
that last year the church only reported a gain of 195,566, which is 21,407 less
than the claimed converts. Extra deaths or defections might be involved, but
there is no way to know exactly what happened. Also remember that the church
reported 102,102 new children of record, of which perhaps 60%, or 61,261, were
probably baptized from prior years' blessings of children. So, the church might
claim that converts, plus the baptisms of children of record from prior years,
would be a total gain of 295,593, but they only report a gain of 195,566, an
unexplained loss of 100,027. It's hard to guess what went on behind these
numbers.
2018 Church
Statistics
|
Comments
|
|
Calculation 1
|
||
Reported
converts
|
234,332
|
|
Estimated
baptisms of children of record (60% of 102,102 reported children of record)
|
61,261
|
|
Total expected growth
|
295,593
|
|
Reported
church net growth
|
195,566
|
|
Unexplained loss
|
100,027
|
Extra
deaths or defections?
|
Calculation 2
|
||
Total
expected growth
|
295,593
|
|
Estimated
deaths
|
216,973
|
|
Estimated church net growth
|
78,620
|
|
Reported
church net growth
|
195,566
|
|
Estimated
church net growth
|
78,620
|
|
Unexplained "gain"
|
116,946
|
Were
many deaths unreported?
|
Reported
missionaries
|
65,137
|
|
Average
converts per missionary per year
|
3.597
|
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large)
|
$15 billion
|
|
Cost
for each of 234,332 converts
--
$15 billion/ 234,332 =
|
$64,011
|
|
Calculation 3
|
||
For 2018
|
||
Growth
in number of wards and branches
|
30
|
|
Estimated
growth in new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or
branch
|
3,000
|
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large)
|
$15 billion
|
|
Cost
for each of 3,000 net new long-term converts
|
$5 million
|
|
Cost
for a family of five
|
$25 million
|
|
For 2017
|
||
Growth
in number of wards and branches
|
202
|
|
Estimated
growth in new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or branch
|
20,200
|
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large)
|
$15 billion
|
|
Cost
for each of 30,000 net new long-term converts
|
$742,574
|
|
Cost
for a family of five
|
$3,712,870
|
|
For 2016
|
||
Growth
in number of wards and branches
|
288
|
|
Estimated
growth in new long-term active members, assuming 100 average for a ward or
branch
|
28,800
|
|
Low
estimate of church resources centrally assembled annually (could be 3 times
that large)
|
$15 billion
|
|
Cost
for each of 30,000 net new long-term converts
|
$520,833
|
|
Cost
for a family of five
|
$2,609,165
|
|
Even
if Mormons are extra healthy, we can still be fairly confident that there were
somewhere around 200,000 members who died, plus an unknown number of those who
left the church. After all that activity and all those changes, it leaves only
about 3000 members who can be counted as actual growth. Of course, it is
useful for the missionaries to replace the people who die and leave the church,
but it is clear that the birthrate within the church is nowhere near enough to
keep us from shrinking without the missionaries finding new people. That itself
ought to be a cause for alarm, and evidence that the newer generations of
church members don't value children very much – not enough to even replace
those members who die. Here again, it seems like we
ought to focus a great deal more on living people than on dead people who have
already had their turn on Earth. They are much more able to take care of
themselves than are these little ones.
If we said that the income of the central
church was a mere $15 billion a year (some have estimated it to be three times
that amount), bringing in about 200,000 converts to avoid the church shrinking
from deaths would cost about $75,000 each (enough to keep out 25 missionaries
for a year for each person baptized.). But, ideally, we would not be spending
all of our money just to stay exactly where we are. We would be making some
progress. The fact that we are not making any progress should tell us that
there's something critically wrong with our current program.
In
2018, the Church added only about 3,000
people to the number of long-term active members. That is getting close enough to zero that the church leaders cannot
really argue anymore that they have an effective program. The number of missionaries is shrinking as
well, perhaps as people find out that they can go on their missions for 1.5 or
2 years, and, even though they may baptize on average about 4 people each year per
missionary, many of them will not have a single convert that stays with the
church long-term. On average, in recent
years it has taken more than two missionary man-years to get one new long-term
convert beyond the maintenance level, beyond keeping the church from shrinking,
and now, as of last year, we see the church adding hardly any new long-term
converts, meaning it takes about 20 missionary man-years for every new
long-term convert which actually extends the size of the active members of the
church.
The
3000 number represents the new long-term converts who added enough to the
church activity rolls to justify adding a ward or branch somewhere in the
world. Last year the church added 30 wards and branches. If we guess that there
is an average of 100 people for each ward or branch, then 30x100 = 3000.
The
church attitude towards missionaries seems to be that the people in Utah, their
main constituency, their "breadbasket" so to speak, the source of so
much of their money income and volunteers, really want their children to get
out and go on missions and see the world, and so the church is supplying that
experience for young people. However, at
this point that whole system is so strikingly ineffective, almost
counterproductive, with so many missionaries becoming depressed, that the time
has come to end it or greatly reorganize it. Again, the whole thing was built
up as a service to the money-paying people in Utah, and that whole program is
falling apart. I could supply some statistics but that may not even be
necessary. I think we are beyond
statistics. People can plainly see that
the whole thing is not working.
A
few years ago, as in 2016, the church members were paying through tithing about
$0.5 million for each new long-term member which would mean, overall, that we
were paying about $2.5 million for a family of five. But that was when we were still bringing in
about 30,000 new long-term people a year, as indicated by the number of new
wards and branches that were formed each year.
Today, the numbers concerning average cost have become
astronomical. We are now spending about
$5 million for each new long-term member, and about $25 million for every
family of five.
Can
you imagine how many children could be saved from abortion with that kind of money
available to fund the program? Perhaps we should simply charge the church $1
million for each new long-term member we supply through the orphanage
system. That would save them a great
deal of money and get us off to a great financial start. This, of course, is
another way to say that our whole system has collapsed, as well it should,
because we are not following the simple program that Christ set out.
We
have made up our own program which focuses on centralizing all the money which
is possible, and then essentially intentionally wasting all that money at the
central offices so that the members will not actually be able to use those
resources to do something good in the world, since doing so would be so
disruptive to the church's current business model of quietly enjoying a lavish
income for doing almost nothing. That
system is in a state of full collapse and we might as well recognize it and
take some action to fix it. If church
leaders are unwilling to face reality and "face the music," so to speak,
then a few sturdy members are going to have to take action.
The
truth is that my deepest reason for wanting to do this abortion/orphanage
project is because of how confused the church has become after 200 years of
operation – the point at which all previous restorations have collapsed. This orphanage program would be a serious
project that does a lot of good, and is very necessary. It would start the
process of people exercising their religious freedom to send their charity
money where they think it will do the most good, and I hope that this
abortion/orphanage project will seem like exactly the right thing for all these
people to do. They can stop sending their
money to the temple building/temple work charitable activity which keeps church
members busy and off the streets but doesn't create any effect in the real
world, or they can send their money to a project which is aggressively taking
on Christian activities. There will be
some members who would like to remain invisible and ineffective, but there are
some who are a little more aggressive in their Christianity, and will want to
send a message to the world that the Mormons support Christianity everywhere
and are not shy about it.
This
will probably terrify the current church leadership, and I don't know what they
will do. They might even do something
completely irrational. But it is time to
find out, since we can officially declare that the old system has completely
failed. It is no longer in doubt which
way the right direction to go might be.
If
the church does choose to help us, I would say Hallelujah, because that will
mean that this hundred-year confusion about the mission of the church will
finally be cleared up and we can get back on the right path. I'm not expecting that to happen, but that
would be the ultimate measure of success for this project.
I believe
there is a silver lining to this current bad situation or problem. We do indeed
have many church members in other countries already, even though the cost of
getting them has already been 100 times what it should have been. If we simply
stopped trying to keep people from gathering, and let the gathering happen naturally
in any way people wanted to do it, or could do it, we would suddenly have all
these church members from all over the world flooding in to be living in the
United States. And, using the examples from the 1800s, where 90,000 people came
from England and Scandinavia to Utah within just a few years, constituting
about 83% of ALL active members in about 1852, for every person who left a
foreign land for Zion, there would be one or two people who would be getting
ready to do the same thing. That process would never stop. Many arrived in Utah
without ever officially joining the Church through baptism, presumably because
of their eagerness to leave their bad situation in England.
That is the
way it worked in England. People wanted freedom, and the church gathering
process provided an organized way to escape the near-slavery the lower classes
experienced in England. (We might remember that it was English ships who were
bringing slaves to America, providing insight into the English viewpoint on
slavery at that earlier time.) The opportunity to live in freedom is an
enormous and constant electro-magnet (which we have intentionally turned off).
If we would just get out of the way, we would only have to help a little here
and there to have a constant flood of people joining us in the United States
and greatly bulking up the number of pro-freedom people in the United States,
hopefully enough to continually overwhelm the anti-freedom influences which
keep growing in our nation.
When you
have Zion all in one place, they will take care of themselves. You don't need a
giant expensive bureaucracy to act as headquarters for 200 different scattered
tribes or versions of the church living under 200 different versions of
Babylon. You only need such a huge bureaucracy if you can insist on keeping
everyone from gathering together. So, as a business model, you want to avoid
the gathering because it hurts your tithing income going to your paid ministry
labor union.
Here is a more precisely written version
of that historical migration from Europe:
In a chapter by Rodney
Stark about LDS Church growth, he includes one subtopic entitled “The British
to the Rescue.”* The statistics he provides show that the British converts went
from 23% of the 16,865 members in 1840 to 83.4% of the 52,640 members in 1852,
then gradually down to 49% of the 188,263 members in 1889. This was a huge
influx of members at a critical time for the Church. Of the 92,465 total
British converts in the 1840 to 1890 period, 89,695 moved to the US, leaving
2,770 behind. The year 2000 membership figure for the United Kingdom is
165,100, so the emigration of that huge portion of early British converts does
not appear to have caused any long-term problem for the Church in that country.
*Rodney Stark,
"The Basis of Mormon Success: A Theoretical Application” in James T. Duke,
ed., Latter-day Saint Social Life: Social Research on the LDS Church and its
Members (Provo, Utah: Religious Studies Center, Brigham Young University,
1998), pp. 29-67 (chapter 2).
Some further steps?
One of the very long-term goals of this
project could be to establish an entire new social insurance system based on
charity, which worked so well for the Saints during and after the life of
Christ. That would mean replacing Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and
perhaps 60 other patchwork tax-and-spend entitlement programs with a
gospel-based/charity-based system. Such a system is easily twice as efficient
as anything a government can do with its wasteful and corrupt methods, and
these charity-based support systems can easily be five times as effective.
The church could have solved this general
social insurance problem for all of us back in the 1930s when it was easy to
do, bringing $10 Trillion in extra pension funds to church members up to the present.
They didn't do a thing then, going along meekly with the New Deal then, so it
is a little harder to do it now. But it is well worth the effort even if it
takes several years to work out mechanisms that are suitable so that these
tax-and-spend atheistic entitlement monstrosities can be replaced with
something Christian and workable, without having to pay two or three times just
for insuring that peoples' basic needs are taken care of when necessary.
20190421
9.5 save children and christianity-part2-V12
The Leland Farms Project
A vigorous Christian
response to the
growing pagan practices
of
abortion and
infanticide in our nation
An
Administrative Addendum
Who should do this
project?
Should
it be a new, local, one-of-a-kind charitable organization which starts from
scratch and gradually builds itself up, or should LDS Church headquarters have
a role in this project? Or should there
be some combination of the two?
Some
possible topics for discussion:
1.
If the Church was ever interested in making a statement that could change the
course of the nation, this looks like this would be a good time to do it.
2.
This would represent a new and seemingly unusual way to "gather
Israel." Perhaps it could gradually be scaled up to compete on almost
equal terms with the regular proselyting processes. The project should also
have major ripple effects as it shows other Christian groups one good way to go
about counteracting the pro-abortion influences on all levels.
3.
If the Church wanted to increase its total number of proselyting missionaries
and service missionaries, this might be a good way to do it, perhaps adding
20,000 to the young people and senior citizens involved. It seems likely that
the senior citizens would be especially interested in this kind of service.
Everyone loves children, and the social stresses and anxieties should be much
less in assisting children than in cold-contacting unknown adults of the world.
4.
Teaching children while they are a young, especially those who might feel some gratitude
for having been rescued, is usually a better way to introduce the gospel than
having to help people first "unlearn" what they have incorrectly
learned in their lives.
5.
The rate of church growth seems to be dropping in recent years. Setting up this
Leland Farms project and system could help greatly improve church growth. I
think this project could have many ripple effects which could raise the church
growth rate far beyond just the number of children who were helped directly by
the project. Simply further emphasizing the LDS respect for life and respect
for personal freedom would have a positive effect on people's view of the LDS
church.
6.
Although this may seem like a highly political move, in another sense it is not
very political, even though it is a direct challenge to rampant paganism. The
idea of killing babies simply because they are inconvenient to have around is
not really popular anywhere. Almost everyone can agree that is a bad idea. Even
the atheistic political left claims that they are really sad about there being so
many abortions. They don't actually believe that, of course, but Christian
thinking still has so much influence in our country that atheists would never
publicly state that it is their goal to kill as many children as possible.
The atheistic
left would have to find a different argument against the project.
7.
I have often thought it would be nice if, instead of sending humanitarian
relief funds to Catholic organizations to be administered, a large amount of
church funds could be sent to more specifically LDS projects such as this one,
where the teaching of the gospel is an important part of the project.
8.
We put a huge amount of effort into saving the dead, but maybe it is time to
put some more effort into saving the living through this new channel of assisting
children into this world and into gospel families.
9.
Many states, at least 17, have tried very hard to constrain abortion to the
extent they can at the state level, pushing back actively against the 1973
federal takeover a rightful state issue. This project could become a focal
point for coordinating the activities of a large number of Christians in our
nation who are taking aggressive action to limit the number of abortions, but
who may not actually have a plan to follow through on some of the practical
effects of the legal changes that are being proposed. The great efforts of
these other Christians ought to be recognized and assisted where possible.
10.
The church has been putting a lot of architectural effort into explicitly
religious structures such as chapels and temples. Perhaps some of that
architectural enthusiasm could be directed toward solving a social problem such
as the new wave of abortions and infanticides. Housing and educating young people would
become more important.
11.
Once a project headquarters staff was assembled and trained, it is quite
possible that the activities in Leland, the part that could be seen easily,
would only be 1/10th of what was being administered worldwide.
12.
There are many possible initiation and long-term management methods that could
be used. The LDS church might offer a loan or grant to this organization. Or
the church might design and build it and then turn it over to someone else to
operate, perhaps through some leasing arrangement. If the LDS church did not
want to make its efforts too public because of potential public relations
problems, there might even be a way for it to remain anonymous. It is
conceivable that the original cost could be paid back over time.
13.
It could be that a local management group would care little about what the
world thought of them, since that local group might see themselves as having
little to lose, and would not be subject to much social "blowback"
from the project, while the centralized church might be more concerned about
such matters.
14.
The Church already has some undeveloped land in Leland. A fully developed
project area might need multiple chapels.
15.
I believe the LDS Church could easily do this project if it chose to. It could set up even the most ambitious version
of the project within two or three years, perhaps by slightly delaying some of
its many temple building projects. Even
at the highly ambitious $3 billion level, that would probably not be much of a
strain on the Church or change its other plans very much.
20190514 Current church strategy-V13
Current church strategy
(And why the Church leaders probably
will not help us with the orphanage
project,
at least not at the beginning.)
The
first three presidents of the church used the same basic program as Christ used
himself. Christ made clear his extreme focus on
charity, and imposed no other expenses on the members. We should be able to
remember that Christ fulfilled and ended the law of Moses, especially including
ending the law of tithing, for which he showed great scorn during his ministry.
Every separate group of church members had
their own patriarch who held all the sealing powers, so they didn't need any
central headquarters or any fancy or expensive buildings to be able to carry
out every aspect of the complete Gospel. And with a built-in social safety net
based on charity for anyone who joined the church, the church apparently
attracted a lot of good people and grew at a rate of at least 10% a year for
the next 300 years.
But
starting with Wilford Woodruff, the church changed its strategy into something
else, and it has been gradually going further and further in that new
direction. It has finally reached the logical end of that path. It must change
direction or face continual near-paralysis or perhaps even extinction. It
certainly cannot continue to grow enough to matter to anyone.
There
are a few simple, basic rules that seem to control nearly everything which the Church
does at the strategic level:
Rule
number one is that the nature of the Church today is mostly controlled by the
corrupt governments of the world. This
really means that we have about 200 versions of the church, one for each of the
world's 200 countries, not just a single version of the church. One might guess
that it takes a huge administrative bureaucracy to administer 200 versions of
the church instead of just one version of the church, and that partially explains
why we have such an enormous government-style overhead staff at the Salt Lake
City headquarters which operates this diplomatic regime that directs all the
activities of these 200 versions of the church.
In
order for the church to go into other countries using its current corporate
form and current policies, it must receive permission from those various
governments which are more or less corrupt.
That means that the church must do absolutely nothing to threaten any of
these organizations. The church must be
as bland as possible. It must make it
clear somehow to these corrupt foreign leaders that the church will never
promote freedom-seeking activities of any kind or do anything else which might
seem even slightly disruptive to these various corrupt leaders or groups of
leaders or their societies.
The
way it affects us here in the United States is this: we are not allowed to do
anything in the United States that would seem the least bit threatening to a
government somewhere else. (Especially today, with all the many news organizations
and the Internet constantly carrying masses of new information around the
world, it means that anything new done in the United States by the LDS Church
would soon, often almost immediately, be made known everywhere else.)
There
are many things which could be helpful to the church which we could do in the
United States because of the great freedom we have here that would cause it to
grow and be successful and be a great blessing to many people. But all of those things must be tamped down
or remain essentially invisible so that the leaders of these other countries
will not feel threatened in the least by the church being present there as a
formal organization with a major headquarters in Salt Lake City. The church budget
is larger than at least 30 countries, and perhaps as many as 60 countries, so
it is likely to be treated as a serious potential political threat, if it chose
to be a threat.
This
means that the nature of the church in the United States has to be the lowest
common denominator of every other country in the world. If there is one country where we can't do
something in the rest of the world, then we can't do it here, because otherwise
word would get out that we are inconsistent and that we might be a threat to
some other governmental organization somewhere in the world. For example, if we encouraged the gathering
of members from around the world, we might be viewed as stealing their people
or we might be viewed as being part of a brain-drain operation if we took their
best people or allowed or encouraged them to move to the United States. Apparently, using this logic, the gathering
has been officially canceled as of the 1970s, probably because that could be a
source of irritation to these other governments.
(I
should mention that some of the things I say here I am very confident are true,
and other things I say are slightly speculative since I can't gather much data
on some of these points. But I do
believe that all the things I say are consistent, and if the church selects one
policy then it must necessarily select another closely related policy to stay
consistent.)
Rule number two: The
lowest common denominator
So,
the church in the United States having to be the lowest common denominator
among all countries is the most basic rule of all. That really means that we
can't do anything that normal Christians would do in the United States. We can't be actively promoting freedom as
Christians have done for the past 2000 years, which process brought the United
States into existence. The church has
officially decided that it cannot continue that history of promoting freedom
that brought us to where we are. That
single factor causes me the largest amount of heartburn.
Again,
we can't be promoting freedom here because that will, in the minds of the
church leaders, lead to a suspicion by all the leaders of these other countries
that we will inevitably start promoting freedom there in their countries, and
of course those countries don't want that.
A possible example is Venezuela today where there are quite a few church
members in that country, and they probably would all like to be free, but the
church presumably believes it cannot be involved in even the most bland way in
helping them gain their freedom.
In
other words, the church members abroad are expected to stay in the countries
where they joined the church so that their leaving is not a threat. Many of those countries have such terrible
economic and social situations that it makes it almost impossible for someone
to live the gospel there because of all the conflicts that they will have with
the mainline society and the government. At the same time, they can't take any
steps to change that society to make it more bearable because that would be a
threat to the ruling powers there. The local people, the old settlers, would
say "This is our culture, not yours, and your changes are not welcome
here." Remember Jackson County Missouri? Things did not go well for the
members who wanted to actually live the gospel there.
Those
conflicts with local societies argue very strongly for foreign members to leave
their particular version of Babylon and come to the United States where the
sheer numbers of church members would build up a huge pool of freedom-loving
people who could keep the United States on an even keel and keep it from
destroying itself through adopting worldly atheistic beliefs and
practices. However, someone at church
headquarters has made the choice that it is currently more beneficial to church
headquarters to proceed using the current strategy. That means that individual church members out
in these branches of Babylon are hurt very much by this church policy. They are asked to sacrifice needlessly on
behalf of the church headquarters itself. Strangely enough, the very lack of
privileges of members in those foreign countries gives excuses for the Salt
Lake City bureaucrats to have additional privileges here as they travel to deal
with some of the problems there. I see nothing fair or necessary about that at
all. The church leaders in Salt Lake City can travel the world at will, and
have a great time, but the members abroad are chained to their current
locations.
Another
layer deeper
So
now it's time to go another layer deeper. So why would the church want to keep people
living in these often very unpleasant Third World countries when they could
come to the United States or perhaps some other First World country and enjoy
the blessings of freedom and be able to live the Gospel exactly as they would
like?
Apparently,
through trial and error, the church headquarters has discovered that the people
in Utah and in the United States will consistently pay the largest amount of
tithing to church headquarters if there are certain conditions in effect. The
church needs to keep members in these other countries, not for their own sake
or for the sake of the other people there, but because they represent trophies
which can be presented as reasons and proof that the church is being successful
and why the church members should keep paying in their tithing money. Also, when the church is able to build
chapels and temples in these other countries, that has multiple policy
effects. It tells the tithe-paying
people in the United States that the church must be achieving success because
it has now been able to plant another symbol, another trophy, in one of these
foreign countries, so that the people in Utah can feel like they are being
successful even though they have no idea what's actually going on in the
world.
Actually,
I consider the building of a temple in one these foreign countries to be a
major step backwards in many cases, the most egregious case being in East
Germany during the Cold War. What that really means is that the church has
finally given away enough of the freedom of their own members to make a deal
with the usually corrupt powers-that-be there so that those people will allow
us to build a temple there. We have
dumbed down or simplified the Gospel to the extent that is required in that
area so that we have satisfied the corrupt attitudes of the governing men or
bodies of men so that we can build a temple there. I consider this, as I say, a step
backwards. There might be many things
that were possible for church members to do quietly before they became so
visible through their temples, and perhaps to a less extent through their
chapels, and now they can't do some of those things anymore because they have
to behave in a certain prescribed way. They become hostages to that temple
which has been built. That means, in
most cases, their freedom and personal ability to live the Gospel in everyday
life actually goes lower.
We
then have a trade-off. Yes, those
foreign members have the chance to go to a temple and perform some ordinances
themselves and for for the dead, but their own daily lives are worse than they
were before or worse than they could be somewhere else. The temple actually
keeps them peaceful -- it gives them an outlet for their energies which
otherwise might be devoted to helping others and improving freedom. That makes the temple a kind of albatross
around their necks, although I assume it is not obvious most of the time.
The
church headquarters probably considers a temple to be a good thing because it
will pacify those people and stop them from trying to leave or trying to
disrupt the local corrupt society by trying to make it better. But it actually puts them in chains. They could easily go to some other country
for their temple ordinances, especially if some element of the church helped
them, and they would learn some interesting things in the process. Of course,
it might also stimulate them to want to be more free to live the gospel, and
that is what the church is trying to avoid. The church ends up having to manage
member expectations.
Also,
it should be mentioned here, that temples are not a necessary part of the
gospel at all. The people after the time
of Christ had no buildings at all for 300 years and they did very nicely. We somehow forget that rather important
little historical fact. An endowment house served the people of Salt Lake City
for 40 years before the temple there was finished. It seemed to be perfectly adequate.
The
early Christians were always persecuted, at least in the sense that they could
not build any buildings, whether chapels or temples. But that restriction turned out to be an
unexpected blessing in disguise, because they could spend all of their
resources on helping each other. We are requiring members in these other countries
to live under all sorts of legal restrictions, somewhat the same way as the
Saints had to live in Rome. None of that
is necessary or desirable except that is the preferred business model of the
Salt Lake City headquarters. I don't see
any good gospel purpose for any of it.
I
was told by a person who had once been a stake president, that the Church
strives to keep a certain balance between those who live in the United States,
who are paying for almost everything, and those in foreign countries who are
spending a big part of that money in their countries. The church in these other countries cannot be
allowed to get very large because the church cannot "support them in the
style to which the church would like them to become accustomed," with
buildings of specific kinds, unless they are getting enough money from the United
States. It is nearly always a net loss
overseas concerning contribution revenues.
It is always a major expense (and sometimes a major embarrassment to the
people receiving it) to support these foreign groups of people, at least if we
insist on having lots of nice buildings for them. So it is good to have the church be large in
the United States where the church gets all its money, but the churches in the
rest of the world can't be allowed to get too large because we can't spend more
money on them than is supplied by the people in Utah and elsewhere. That is the balancing act on the money scene.
Of course,
those are all completely artificial barriers to growth in other countries, intentionally
imposed by the church headquarters itself to maximize its control and its
profits. After Christ, the church quickly spread through areas of Greece and
elsewhere with no impediments because the only thing the new members had to do
was take care of each other. There were no capital investment or start-up costs
or taxes required to do that.
Almost
inconceivable to today's church members, those early members did not have to
send any tithing to anyone, so there was no need for banking operations, big
buildings, etc. Those new members did not need to basically pay a franchise tax
to some headquarters unit somewhere in the world to be allowed to move forward
according to certain legalistic franchise rules enforced by a US religious
corporate entity wrongly claiming exclusive copyright ownership of all the
gospel texts and concepts.
If the
church let these other areas of the world just do their own thing, as at the
time of Christ, and pay no tithing/salvation franchise tax in order to operate
successfully, the US members might suddenly get the idea in their heads that they
didn't need to pay any franchise (or temple ordinance) tax themselves, and then
the whole system would collapse (which is what needs to happen anyway).
Priesthood ordinances are all supposed to be free, especially including temple
ordinances.
The
Salt Lake City people build buildings, but charge perhaps an outrageous
overhead charge of perhaps 500% for doing so and allow no competition. They are
a monopoly in this area and charge monopoly profits. Perhaps they internally
sometimes justify their enormous overhead charges using that kind of government
contract negotiation logic, although they would never use that logic on the
members.)
The
church has been engaged in a worldwide branding process which is unnecessary,
but apparently makes the Salt Lake City people feel more important. They have
greater control at the detail level in all these places, it seems to them. This
apparently helps teach and reinforce the claimed need to pay a license or
franchise tax for all church activities. And, there is apparently a lot of
money to be made in constructing church buildings, which supports a whole
construction bureaucracy of well-paid and therefore naturally very supportive
members.
The temple
building/temple work strategy
Again,
through trial and error, church headquarters has discovered that, since the
church tries to do almost nothing to change the society around it, and engages
in hardly any measurable amount of charity, since doing serious charitable
works can change societies, and that is to be avoided at all costs, one has to
decide what happens to people's money and time in this headquarters-preferred
situation. Building temples and doing
temple work is actually a way of distracting church members, intentionally
using up their money and their energies without allowing them to do anything
that matters in the real world.
It
is all very fine for members to do work for the dead. They can be reminded of how the plan of
salvation works and they can feel like they're contributing, but, more
importantly, they are being kept off the streets, so to speak. If people are convinced that the most
important thing they can do is work for the dead, as opposed to work for the
living, then that's going to keep them very tame. They send all their money to Salt Lake, they
spend all their church time doing things which are invisible to everyone else,
and there is no effect on the society, and the church can continue to seem
completely bland and completely ineffective as far as any of the typical
Christian activities would be. In other
words, the temple building and temple work projects are giant make-work
projects for church members to keep them from being active in the lives of
living people, and instead encouraging them to spend all their time working on
behalf of people who are not here and will not cause any trouble in society no
matter what you do for them. They will not change their earthly attitudes or
their votes, etc.
Spy
vs. spy
Our
little group needs to operate in a stealthy way, just like the church is
operating in a stealthy way around the world.
We think we are living in a Gospel society here in Utah, but we are not.
We see the corruption of our local governments, and the church must take a lot
of the blame for that. Since they will never support the Constitution anywhere
else, why would they support it in Utah? That would be acting inconsistently.
We are gradually importing all the wickedness of the world, and doing it
intentionally, because the church leaders think we need to blend with the
world, not be a peculiar people who stand out and who do important Christian
things and who change societies.
So,
the church itself is part of the corruption here in Utah because they have
imported it because it seemed convenient.
I think we have finally reached the end of that possibility. It should not be allowed to be stealthy
anymore. The whole thing, the whole
gospel project, is collapsing and going up in smoke because they have let it
"grow wild" for so long, imagining that avoiding any active
interference with the downward slide of society was actually in their business
interest. So now a big charitable
project will have to stay under the radar of the church for a while or they
will try to squelch us and squeeze us out.
We need to be aware of that, but simply not talk about it or make it
much of an issue. We need to just go on
our way and do what we can legally on our own in a free country which is barely
just still free.
The
church will start to feel like we are putting them in a bad light, making it
seem like their old business model of total passivity won't work and they can't
keep claiming and pretending that they are pushing the full gospel worldwide,
when they are only promoting the thinnest shadow of the real gospel. They are just building up trophies to get
money from United States people. It's
quite possible that they have been doing this so long that nobody at church
headquarters even knows what the basic strategy is -- they may just be
mindlessly continuing the "traditions of the fathers" by rote But I'm
sure there are some people who understand the strategy and enforce it, or it
would have gone a different way already.
We just need to be alert that we are playing a double game here, but
feel confident that we are doing the right thing, nonetheless.
Likely
church analysis and reaction
So
perhaps we can discuss what the church will probably think about this Leland
project. Abortion has become a major
political issue, perhaps the biggest political issue of our times. If we agree with the good Christians who were
active in Rome in rescuing and adopting discarded babies, we would want to do
something about at least changing the effects of these pagan abortion rituals
that are going on, this infanticide. But
to do that, we obviously will have a political effect because we will be
backing up the legislative work of the 17 Christian states who have decided to
do what they can to minimize abortions that occur in their states. I am assuming they will not have a plan in effect
to deal with the aftermath of the laws they pass. There will still be just as many unwanted
children, even if they are allowed to go to full term and be born, but they
will still be just as unwanted or perhaps more of them will be unwanted than
the million a year who have been killed through abortions. So, someone needs to give those states the
practical backup for their political crusade.
So, we will obviously then be right in the middle of a highly emotional
political issue.
We
would be saying that we believe in the sanctity of life which includes the
right to life, the right to be born, and that puts us squarely in conflict with
the political left. We will be anything
but bland. We will be sticking out like
a sore thumb, as they say.
All
of this potential political visibility is exactly what the church leaders will
want to avoid because that will hamper their "non-political, business
franchise 'McDonald's' operation" work, as they see it, in other
countries. It's interesting to note that
the abortion rate in the rest of the world, on a per capita basis, is about
three times what it is in the United States.
In other words, the Christian heritage of the United States has already
kept the abortion rate quite low compared to the rest of the world. If the rest of the world sees LDS Church
members here actively helping to lower the number of abortions, and to find
homes for all of the children who are rescued, they are probably going to have
numerous bad reactions to that. For example, they might say "Someone is
stealing our children and using them against us by teaching them a different
value system." Someone will fairly
quickly figure that out and be upset. Just the idea of confronting and
resisting the political left (a bland term for Satanism) is going to get us
into deep trouble. The church will
immediately want to stop this process because, as they will likely see it, it
will be threatening their bureaucratic power and their stable income for all
the reasons I mentioned above. (It may
take some intricate reasoning to piece together the actual, possibly quite
indirect, church reaction since leaders are not in the habit of speaking
candidly about policy matters).
So,
not only will the church probably decide not to help this project, it will likely
engage in some active efforts to stop it. There is a tiny chance that if we
war-game this out for them, and show that they have to support this project or
become irrelevant themselves, then maybe they will support it. But that is extremely unlikely to begin
with. The chances go up over time if the
project is successful.
The
central headquarters could decide to jump in and use all their assembled
management expertise to give such projects a rocket boost, but that would
require an enormous set of policy changes at church headquarters.
There
is another aspect here which needs to be mentioned. It is likely that there are many church
members who are quietly or even subconsciously a little bit uneasy about what
the Church has been doing, in the last 50 years, of remaining completely passive
on every important issue that relates to religion and politics. Religion and
politics are always intertwined. There
is no cure for that. Politics is the way
we show our morality, and morality comes from religion, and there is no
avoiding this conflict. In the
long-term, you have to make a choice to go with Christianity or with Satanism,
and unfortunately, the LDS Church has decided that their short-term benefit is
to go with the political left on almost every issue, perhaps being just a few
years behind them so that they don't seem to be either too eager or too
resistant.
Church
members can choose to continue to do more mostly invisible temple work, and pay
for building more temples that do almost nothing to change society, and in this
way the members can manage to do essentially no charity at all, or those
members can take the gospel bull by the horns, so to speak, and take the
scriptures seriously, and make charity our number one activity. If we devote
billions of dollars to charitable activities that could be quite noticeable in
the sense that we will be changing society for the better. In most cases that would be highly commended
by other Christians in our country and would be condemned by the corrupt
leaders and many of the people nationwide and worldwide. But the conflict would become very
clear. If church members then decide to
send their money to support these somewhat aggressive charitable activities
like limiting abortion and promoting the gathering -- which are actually two
unexpectedly interrelated aspects of the gathering, since they are just
different paths to get all the good spirits together -- then that will
potentially mean an immediate drop in the tithing income to the central church,
assuming they will refuse to use the tithing money for any of these highly
commendable charitable projects.
Incidentally,
the church members should be eagerly involved in correct education instead of
supporting corrupt state systems, that nearly all aggressively promote leftist
ideologies, so that would be another project which would be a subproject of the
Leland Project, providing the proper education for the children that are saved
from the fires of Moloch, as they used to say about ritual infanticide.
So,
we need to be ready to experience some pushback from the church and we might as
well know why it's happening, so we will not get too confused or
discouraged. Unfortunately, church
leaders have been very clever in presenting to a politically unsophisticated church
membership arguments for what they do which seem semi-convincing. Unfortunately, the truth is, that the church
leadership have been skirting the truth and telling some outright lies in order
to keep their control over the income flow of tithing from church members. It's rather an unpleasant shock to discover
that LDS Church members have been manipulated so much for so long, but I think
we have finally reached the point where the real story has to be told and
people have to wake up.
The church should be at 200 million members
If the
gospel were being taught and practiced properly, after 200 years of operation I
think it would be at the 200 million level already, large enough to keep United
States on an even political keel. However, the church today is only teaching
and practicing about 25% of the gospel. We might find nearly all correct
teachings somewhere buried in the literature, but we are not DOING any of those
things -- we don't support freedom, we don't do charity on a grand scale, we
don't resist abortion, etc., etc.
Last year,
the church apparently added only 3000 new long-term people to its active membership.
That is close enough to zero to call it zero. And it costs us at least $15
billion in total member costs every year just to keep from shrinking.
Our
growth rate is so pitifully small, that it is hardly even worth discussing, but
some of the numbers the church puts out may seem confusing, so only for that
reason it might be worthwhile to present the various numbers and attempt to
analyze and compare them.
20190517
There Must Be More to the Pro Life Cause text only
There Must Be More to the Pro-Life Cause
May 16th, 2019
by Erick Erickson
I support legislation in Alabama,
Georgia, and elsewhere to restrict killing children behind the euphemism of
abortion.
I also think pro-lifers must do other
things as well. Should we be successful, there will be women carrying children
they do not want and there will be women who bear costs with no fathers around
to help them. We must do more to provide social stability for these moms.
Pro-lifers must be willing to fight for
adoption reform across the states. We should support making it more efficient
to adopt by cutting bureaucratic red tape. We must work to end laws that allow
mothers who give up their children to change their minds once an adoption has
gone through. We must work to encourage more interracial adoptions.
We must also work to improve the social
safety net to help women. Churches need to step up on this, not just taxpayers.
This burden should be on the pro-life community, not just the state. We need to
make it easier for mothers to get care they need. We need to make it easier for
them to collect from deadbeat dads. Frankly, we also need to make it easier for
deadbeat dads to find jobs to help pay for support. Sometimes a catch 22
develops where a father falls behind on payments to help his children and goes
to jail, even though he is trying to earn money to help his child.
This cannot be a “ban abortion” approach
because then the pro-life community will be accepting the abortion community’s
critique that we only care about children in the womb.
Additionally, we need to understand the
new fronts the left will open. Some activists will work to curtail adoption
choices through targeting faith-based adoption agencies in the name of
tolerance. They’ll shut off the avenues by which adoptions can happen in the
name of tolerance, then complain that the adoption process is too burdensome
and abortion is the answer.
Restricting abortion is a good thing. It
is killing a human being. But restricting abortion without helping mothers and
children is cruel. A healthy pro-life community will step up and move beyond
restrictions on abortion towards greater social and community support for
mothers with nowhere to turn.
https://theresurgent.com/2019/05/16/there-must-be-more-to-the-pro-life-cause/
20190423 Abortion news-V03
Ohio Just Became the
Fifth State to Ban Abortion at 6 Weeks
Apr. 11, 2019
By Madeleine Aggeler
Ohio has become the fifth state to ban abortion
at six weeks. A so-called “fetal heartbeat bill,” which outlaws abortion before
most women even realize they’re pregnant, passed the state legislature on
Wednesday morning; newly elected governor Mike DeWine signed it the next day.
Ohio joins four other states that have passed
similar six-week abortion bans: Mississippi, Kentucky, Iowa, and North Dakota.
In addition, Georgia passed a six-week abortion ban back in March, and openly
anti-abortion Governor Brian Kemp, who has voiced his support for the bill, has
until May 10 to sign it.
Heartbeat bills ban all or most abortions once
a heartbeat can be detected — which is usually at the embryonic stage, around
five or six weeks — severely restricting the usual, legal threshold at which
states can ban abortion, which is considered to be when a fetus is viable
outside the womb (around 24 weeks). Such bills, in effect, prohibit nearly all
abortions, because they leave women with such a small window in which to
confirm they are pregnant, and then have the procedure done.
While these laws have all been challenged in
court, and blocked from taking effect because they run counter to Roe v. Wade, they are part of a larger
effort to eventually overturn Roe at
level of the Supreme Court, and a growing push against women’s reproductive
rights in the United States. Here is a closer look at what has happened with
these bans in each state.
Ohio
Ohio’s fetal heartbeat bill was shut down twice
before, by former governor John Kasich. Ohio’s current governor, however, Mike
DeWine, signed it shortly after it passed the legislature. The ACLU has said it
will challenge the measure as soon as it is signed.
Georgia (passed; not yet signed by the governor)
Passed in March, Georgia’s HB481, or the Living
Infants Fairness and Equality (LIFE) Act, would ban all abortions after six
weeks, including in cases of rape or incest. It also redefines who is
considered to be a “natural person,” expanding the term to include “an unborn
child.” This new definition would potentially
make mothers who receive abortions and doctors who administer them open to
criminal prosecution.
https://www.thecut.com/2019/04/which-states-have-passed-six-week-abortion-bans.html
====================================================================
New York abortion law
allows infanticide
Posted: Feb. 6, 2019 10:15 am
To The Herald-Whig:
Democrats hold many positions that I disagree
with. But the one that has caused me the greatest pain is abortion.
I believe in the sanctity of life at any stage
of development, but now the Democrats have crossed a line that no civilized
person, regardless of their politics, should support.
The Democrats are now stepping beyond abortion
to infanticide. If you're not familiar with that term, it is the killing of a
baby after it is born, its heart pumping blood, its lungs pumping oxygen into
that blood. The infant can cry and smile, and it can take in nourishment, either
through its mother's breast or from a bottle.
New York lawmakers, with the support of Democratic
governor Andrew Cuomo, have approved late-term abortions up to and including
after birth. The New York law, in addition to approving abortion at any stage
of pregnancy, also moves the state's abortion regulations from the criminal
code to the health codes, prohibiting criminal prosecution for medical
professionals who perform abortions. The Democratic governor of Virginia is
pushing for a similar law.
Under the new law, in New York a medical
professional is now defined as a licensed physician, nurse practitioner,
physician assistant and licensed midwives. And under the new law, the decision
to abort lies with the mother, regardless of the baby's physical condition.
Whether or not we choose to remain a civilized
society will be decided in November 2020. If killing newborn babies doesn't
bother you, vote Democratic. If you have one shred of respect for human life,
you have to vote Republican.
If you believe abortion at any stage of
development is OK, please go to YouTube and type in the search box "Dr.
Levatino destroys abortion in two minutes." His description of a late-term
abortion while testifying before a congressional committee sickened me. Today,
he no longer performs abortions except to save the life of the mother.
William Mussetter
Quincy
https://www.whig.com/20190206/new-york-abortion-law-allows-infanticide#
=====================================================
March 2018
Fact Sheet
Induced Abortion
Worldwide
GLOBAL INCIDENCE AND TRENDS
• During 2010–2014, an estimated 56 million
induced abortions occurred each year worldwide. This number represents an
increase from 50 million annually during 1990–1994, mainly because of
population growth.
• As of 2010–2014, the global annual rate of
abortion for all women of reproductive age (15–44) is estimated to be 35 per
1,000, which is a reduction from the 1990–1994 rate of 40 per 1,000.
• The estimated global abortion rate as of
2010–2014 is 35 per 1,000 for married women and 26 per 1,000 for unmarried
women.1
• Women in developing regions have a higher
likelihood of having an abortion than those in developed regions—36 vs. 27 per
1,000.
• Between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014, the abortion
rate declined markedly in developed regions, from 46 to 27 per 1,000, but
remained roughly the same in developing regions.
• The annual number of abortions during the
period fell in developed regions, from about 12 million to seven million; in
contrast, the number increased in developing regions, from 38 million to 49
million, although this change mainly reflects the growth of the
reproductive-age population.
• The proportion of abortions worldwide that
occur in developing regions rose from 76% to 88% between 1990–1994 and
2010–2014.
• Globally, 25% of all pregnancies ended in
abortion in 2010–2014. Between 1990–1994 and 2010–2014, the proportion of pregnancies
ending in abortion fell from 39% to 27% in developed countries, while it rose
from 21% to 24% in developing countries.1
https://www.guttmacher.org/fact-sheet/induced-abortion-worldwide
======================================
Was
Abortion the ‘Leading Cause of Death’ in 2018?
Leading
causes of death worldwide and abortion estimates -- two different measures?
On 31 December 2018, the Breitbart.com
website reported under the headline “Abortion Leading
Cause of Death in 2018 with 41 Million Killed” that “there have been some 41.9
million abortions performed in the course of the year,” making abortion “the
number one cause of death worldwide in 2018, with more than 41 million children
killed before birth.”
That article spawned a ripple of similar
reports on various other sites, most of which referred back to the Breitbart
piece, which itself rested on a figure gleaned from Worldometers, a real-time tool that “analyzes
the available data, performs statistical analysis, and builds our algorithm [to
feed our] real time estimates.” Worldometers states that its abortion
figures refer to induced abortions (as opposed to miscarriages), and that:
The
data on abortions displayed on the Worldometers’ counter is based on the latest
statistics on worldwide abortions published by the World Health Organization
(WHO).
According
to WHO, every year in the world there are an estimated 40-50 million abortions.
This corresponds to approximately 125,000 abortions per day.
However, the most recent figure on
abortions from WHO we could locate dated from 2014 and was slightly higher than
Worldometers’ tally. WHO estimated that between 2010
and 2014, an average of 56 million induced abortions occurred worldwide each
year.
If WHO’s estimate of 56 million abortions
annually held steady through 2016, when they released their survey on the top ten leading causes of
death globally, it would be true that the number of abortions worldwide
outnumbered overall deaths from heart disease and stroke, the top two causes of
death that year. In 2016, ischemic heart disease and stroke killed a total of
15.2 million people worldwide, according to WHO, noting that “These diseases
have remained the leading causes of death globally in the last 15 years”:
We can infer from WHO statistics that the
difference between the number of abortions worldwide versus the number of
deaths from heart disease and stroke worldwide is not a new dynamic, although
viral stories proclaiming that abortions “now” outnumber deaths from those
other causes imply that fact is a recent development.
Stating that abortion is the “leading
cause of death” worldwide (as opposed to a medical procedure) is a problematic
pronouncement, because that stance takes a political position, one which is at
odds with the scientific/medical world. The medical community does not confer
personhood upon fetuses that are not viable outside the womb, so counting
abortion as a “cause of death” does not align with the practices of health
organizations such as WHO and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(CDC), as Heather Boonstra, director of public policy for the reproductive
health research organization Guttmacher Institute, told us:
Abortion
is a legal, constitutionally protected medical procedure in the United States.
It’s not considered a cause of death by CDC, WHO and other leading authorities,
and statistics on induced abortion are excluded in the CDC’s national
fetal-death statistics.
The legal, philosophical, religious, and
scientific arenas provide no definitive answers as to when personhood begins.
Medical advances continue to push the stage at which a fetus can be considered
viable outside the womb, as Wired reported in 2015:
When
life begins is, of course, the central disagreement that fuels the controversy
over abortion. Attacks on abortion rights are now more veiled and indirect —
like secret videos pointing to Planned Parenthood’s fetal tissue donations, or
state legislation that makes operating abortion clinics so onerous they have to
shut down. But make no mistake, the ultimate question is, when does a fetus
become a person — at fertilization, at birth, or somewhere in between?
Here,
modern science offers no clarity. If anything, the past century of scientific
advances have only made the answer more complicated. As scientists have peered
into wombs with ultrasound and looked directly at sperm entering an egg,
they’ve found that all the bright lines they thought existed dissolving.
Concluding an entry on the topic, RationalWiki quotes
developmental biologist Scott Gilbert in saying that “The entity created by
fertilization is indeed a human embryo, and it has the potential to be human
adult. Whether these facts are enough to accord it personhood is a question
influenced by opinion, philosophy and theology, rather than by science.”
Although the U.S. Supreme Court ruling in
the landmark 1973 Roe. v. Wade case held that unduly
restrictive state regulation of abortion was unconstitutional, fetal personhood
very much remains a legal issue and not merely an abstract philosophical one.
As the New York Times reported, the enactment of
fetal personhood statutes in some states has resulted in the prosecution of
women over circumstances that ended or endangered their pregnancies:
You
might be surprised to learn that in the United States a woman coping with the
heartbreak of losing her pregnancy might also find herself facing jail time.
Say she got in a car accident in New York or gave birth to a stillborn in
Indiana: In such cases, women have been charged with manslaughter.
In
fact, a fetus need not die for the state to charge a pregnant woman with a
crime. Women who fell down the stairs, who ate a poppy seed bagel and failed a
drug test or who took legal drugs during pregnancy — drugs prescribed by their
doctors — all have been accused of endangering their children.
So
what motivates these prosecutions? The reality is that, in many cases, these
women are collateral damage in the fight over abortion. As the legal debate
over a woman’s right to terminate her pregnancy has intensified, so too has the
insistence of anti-abortion groups that fertilized eggs and fetuses be granted
full rights and the protection of the law — an extreme legal argument with
little precedent in American law before the 1970s.
Frustrated
by the Roe v. Wade decision that legalized abortion, many in the anti-abortion
movement hope for a sweeping rollback under a conservative Supreme Court — one
that would block access to abortion even in states that protect women’s access
to such health services.
https://www.snopes.com/news/2019/01/03/abortion-leading-cause-of-death/
20190430
What the Alabama Abortion Law Means for Women Across the Country text only-V02
https://www.glamour.com/story/what-alabama-abortion-law-means-for-women-across-the-country
What the Alabama Abortion Law Means for Women Across
the Country
By Macaela Mackenzie
November 7, 2018
The results of Tuesday’s midterms marked
a number of history-making elections for women: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New
York became the youngest person ever elected to Congress, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota
and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan broke barriers as the first Muslim women elected,
Sharice Davids of Kansas and Deb Haaland of New Mexico made major strides for
Native American women with their wins, and Jahana Hayes of Connecticut and
Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts became the first black women to represent their
states.
But the historic elections aren’t just
about who’s repping the country. New abortion laws, which were voted on in
three states—Alabama, West Virginia, and Oregon—have implications for women
across the country. Two amendments passed last night are putting women's
ability to access safe abortions in jeopardy.
ALABAMA
Alabama’s abortion measure, which passed
by a wide margin, is major. The amendment to the state’s constitution is what's
called a “personhood law,” which grants the right to life from the moment of
conception. Essentially, it means that in the state of Alabama, a fetus or
embryo has the same rights as a full-fledged person.
"They’ve granted full rights to the
unborn from the moment of conception—that means fertilized eggs—while they
strip away all of the rights for pregnant women," says Yashica Robinson,
M.D., a gynecologist in Alabama and a board member of Physicians for Reproductive
Health.
These laws are known as “trigger laws,” which means if
Roe v. Wade is overturned, they could trigger an outright ban on abortion,
criminalizing the procedure for women in those states.
The threat to women's rights is bad
enough, but abortion-rights supporters worry that the amendment might also
jeopardize infertility treatments like IVF. "In any type of assisted
reproductive technology treatment, most commonly in vitro fertilization,
embryos are formed," Dr. Robinson explains. "Generally, you’re going
to form more embryos than you’re going to use." What happens to those unused
embryos is already a hotly debated issue, and Alabama's newly minted amendment
could make the issue of disposing of unused embryos even murkier. "The way
this amendment was written, it seems like it’s just about abortion, but it
clearly says that it protects the rights of the unborn—and that’s from the
moment of creation," Dr. Robinson says.
The approved amendment states that no
provisions in Alabama’s constitution provide a woman with the right to have an
abortion—no exceptions for cases of rape, incest, or when the life of the
mother is at risk.
For Dr. Robinson, that's not only
"devastating"; it violates her duty as a physician. "As a
physician I’ve taken an oath to do what’s best for my patients. That means
advocating for access to health care for them that values their privacy, their
autonomy, and their dignity," she says. "My job, even when it's a
hard decision to make, is to counsel the patient and help them to make health
care decisions that are best for them. [The amendment will] harm patients and
bind the hands of physicians."
WEST
VIRGINIA
West Virginia also passed a ballot
measure that will restrict women’s access to abortion. Just as in Alabama, West
Virginia's Amendment 1 paves the way to criminalize abortion, stripping women
of protections to their federal right to an abortion. The amendment also strips
state funding for abortions through insurance programs like Medicaid.
"Being able to pay for an abortion
is a key part of being able to access an abortion," says Yamani Hernandez,
executive director of the National Network of Abortion Funds. "The reason
why abortion funds exist is because abortion is out of reach for so many."
State laws that strip funding for
abortion care, often disproportionately affect disadvantaged women, she says. "This
is something that we consider to be discriminatory, something that targets
people of color and people with lower incomes and discriminates against people
based on the insurance coverage that people have."
“We need legislators across the country to understand
that abortion is health care, health care is a right, and a right is not a
right if every patient can’t afford to access it.”
(Oregon voted on a similar ballot
measure, which proposed ending state funding of abortion except when the
procedure was medically necessary, but it was voted down by a wide margin.)
So what does this mean for women's
rights to reproductive care across the U.S.? Alabama and West Virginia’s newly
approved abortion amendments are important on a national level. Laws like the
newly passed amendments in Alabama and West Virginia are known as “trigger
laws,” which means if Roe v. Wade is overturned, they could trigger an outright
ban on abortion, criminalizing the procedure for women in those states, The
Washington Post reports. (In an NBC poll taken yesterday, two thirds of voters
supported keeping the landmark ruling that grants the right to an abortion in
place.)
This possibility is what worries
abortion activists the most. "It makes our work dramatically more urgent
and important, because if that starts to happen, it’s going to make travel to
get abortions even harder," Hernandez says. "People are already
traveling hundreds of miles to get an abortion. This makes the legal right to
abortion completely out of reach for too many. "
In other areas of the country, voters
elected officials with track records of fighting for reproductive health like
Jacky Rosen and Tina Smith (who is a former Planned Parenthood employee). “In
2018 voters made their voices heard loud and clear: They want elected officials
who champion reproductive health care and will stand up for women," Dawn
Laguens, executive vice president of the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, said
in a statement sent to Glamour.
Hernandez says those victories are cause
to be optimistic about the future—she's not giving up on health care funding
that includes abortion care. “We need legislators across the country to
understand that abortion is health care," Willie Parker, M.D., board chair
of Physicians for Reproductive Health, said in a statement sent to Glamour.
"Health care is a right, and a right is not a right if every patient can’t
afford to access it.”
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